Moonscape
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 64
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-02-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-04 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 16/07/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 13/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/02/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 21/02/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |