10
My Angel Does
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 57
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/04/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |