13
Princess Opal
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 38
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 10/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |