3
Slainte Mhath
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 56
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength16%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/04/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/07/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |