1
Super Engreida
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 54
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-02-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 19/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/12/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 08/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |