2
Johnnyfrenchfri
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 89
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 30/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 20/09/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |