11
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6yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 97
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#9
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 4th | 5/6 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 18/02/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |