Pure Panic
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 90
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-01-15 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 27/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 12/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |