Unworkable
5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 91
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/09/2025 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 57% | -0.38 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 55% | -0.19 |
| 19/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 14/03/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 24/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |