13
Winfromwithin
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Lone Star | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sunland Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/12/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 01/01/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 08/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 05/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |