7

Yes I Am Free

10yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength42%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Gulfstream 21/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 108 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/12/2024 · OR 108 par21/12C5OR 108C5 @ Gulfstream 25/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 107 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/01/2025 · OR 107 parC6 @ Gulfstream 28/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 107 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/02/2025 · OR 107 par28/02C6OR 107C6 @ Gulfstream 27/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 105 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/04/2025 · OR 105 parC6 @ Gulfstream 08/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 105 · 5f Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/06/2025 · OR 105 par8/06C6OR 105C8 @ Gulfstream 11/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 100 · 5f 122 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 100 parC7 @ Gulfstream 31/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 104 · 5f Fm 119 · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 104 par31/08C7OR 104C5 @ Mountaineer 11/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 97 · 5f Slo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 97 parC5 @ Mountaineer 28/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 5f Slo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 90 par28/06C5OR 90projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Mountaineer?5th3rd+2
2026-05-11Mountaineer?5th3rd+2
2025-08-31Gulfstream?4th4th0
2025-07-11Gulfstream?6th7th1
2025-06-08Gulfstream?5th4th+1
2025-04-27Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1227/0431/0828/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength41%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/202410th8/158%10%-0.48
25/01/20258th20/10%36%+0.36
28/02/20258th9/276%22%-0.54
27/04/20253rd4/179%75%-0.04
08/06/20255th5/174%20%-0.54
11/07/20256th5/287%17%-0.70
31/08/20254th3/184%25%-0.59
11/05/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
28/06/20265th9/276%43%-0.33