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I'm On Edge

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 72

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Lone Star 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 54 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 54 par3/07C8OR 54C8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 03/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 60 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 60 parC8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 24/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 59 · 5f110y 123 · below its mark24/01/2026 · OR 59 par24/01C8OR 59C8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 59 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 59 parC8 @ Sam Houston Race Park 29/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark29/03/2026 · OR 59 par29/03C8OR 59C8 @ Lone Star 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 58 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark10/05/2026 · OR 58 parC8 @ Lone Star 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 57 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 57 par20/06C8OR 57C8 @ Thistledown 15/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 61 · 5f110y 123 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 61 parC8 @ Mountaineer 29/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 74 · 1m Slo 124 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 74 par29/07C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-07-15Thistledown?1st1st0
2026-06-20Lone Star?1st1st0
2026-05-10Lone Star?2nd2nd0
2026-03-29Sam Houston Race Park?4th4th0
2026-02-14Sam Houston Race Park?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0714/0220/0629/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength74%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20252nd20/10%89%+0.89
03/01/20267th9/488%14%-0.74
24/01/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
14/02/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
29/03/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
10/05/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
20/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
15/07/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
29/07/20264th11/486%63%-0.23