3
Kittyup
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 58
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
75%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 29% | -0.66 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 06/02/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 07/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |