7

Pasta Salad Rhonda

6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 66

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 14/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 76 · 1m70y 124 · below its mark14/09/2025 · OR 76 par14/09C8OR 76C7 @ Hawthorne 25/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 80 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/09/2025 · OR 80 parC8 @ Hawthorne 05/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 79 · 1m110y 122 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 79 par5/10C8OR 79C8 @ Mahoning Valley 25/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 76 · 1m Slo 124 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 76 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 17/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 73 · 1m70y Slo 124 · below its mark17/12/2025 · OR 73 par17/12C8OR 73C8 @ Mahoning Valley 22/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 70 · 1m70y Slo 124 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Mountaineer 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 66 · 1m 124 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 66 par23/06C8OR 66C8 @ Mountaineer 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 64 · 5f110y 124 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 64 parC8 @ Mountaineer 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Slo 124 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 74 par22/07C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-07-09Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-06-23Mountaineer?6th6th0
2026-01-22Mahoning Valley?2nd2nd0
2025-12-17Mahoning Valley?5th5th0
2025-11-25Mahoning Valley?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0925/1123/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength56%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20253rd11/893%60%-0.33
25/09/20254th11/271%25%-0.46
05/10/20253rd11/486%60%-0.26
25/11/20255th14/126%43%+0.17
17/12/20255th6/168%20%-0.48
22/01/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
23/06/20266th9/276%29%-0.48
09/07/20263rd13/266%33%-0.32
22/07/20264th7/163%67%+0.04