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5

Bear On The Run

3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 89

Naas · TRM Ironxcell For Energy Race · 5f 205y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped encouragingly in a strong maiden at the Curragh on debut last spring before landing the odds when comfortably making all at Dundalk in the summer. Has shown plenty of speed and she's open to further progress despite being off the track nearly a full year.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 05/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 1235/05C8C8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f Std 12415/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-15Dundalk?1st1st0
2025-05-05Curragh?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0515/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/20255th4/179%69%-0.10
15/08/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05