6
Focaccia
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 78
Naas · TRM Ironxcell For Energy Race · 5f 205y
#5
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA76 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | BHA73 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 03/06/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 68% | +0.68 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |