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Likedbymike

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 94

Naas · TRM Ironxcell For Energy Race · 5f 205y

#1

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Is on a long losing run but has gone close twice in listed company this year. Produced one of this season's lesser efforts when 6¼ lengths tenth of 15 to Soul Love in listed race over C&D (good to firm) 12 days ago. Is the clear form pick.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA80 @ Curragh 02/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 80 · 5f Hvy 131 · below its mark02/11/2025 · OR 80 par2/1180OR 80BHA79 @ Curragh 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 79 · 6f Sft 131 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 79 parBHA79 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 79 · 5f Sft 130 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 79 par19/0479OR 791 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 84 · 5f Gd 130 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 84 par1 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 96 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 96 par17/051OR 961 @ Cork 14/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 96 · 5f Gd 130 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 96 parBHA96 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 96 · 5f Gd 139 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 96 par28/0696OR 96BHA96 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 96 · 5f Goo 131 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 96 par1 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 95 · 5f205y Goo 133 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 95 par22/071OR 95projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Naas110th10th0
2026-07-04NaasBHA963rd3rd0
2026-06-28CurraghBHA969th9th0
2026-06-14Cork12nd2nd0
2026-05-17Naas14th4th0
2026-04-27Naas12nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1127/0428/0622/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/11/20257th11/142%54%+0.12
03/04/20266th7/163%67%+0.04
19/04/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
27/04/20262nd28/10%93%+0.93
17/05/20264th7/163%67%+0.04
14/06/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
28/06/20269th11/271%47%-0.24
04/07/20263rd15/890%50%-0.40
22/07/202610th14/126%36%+0.09