8
Clonmacash
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 73
Naas · Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap · 5f 205y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Ayr | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA74 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | BHA74 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA75 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA75 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | BHA80 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 01/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 07/06/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |