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2

Red Evolution

4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 83

Naas · Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap · 5f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Developed into a useful performer last year with 3 victories. Hasn't matched that form in a trio of starts this season, seventh of 20 in the Scurry at the Curragh 16 days ago, but he's been given a chance by the handicapper. Interesting with tongue strap fitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 29/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 85 · 5f Std 132 · beat its mark29/01/2025 · OR 85 par29/01C8OR 852 @ Lingfield 28/02/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 85 · 6f1y Std 127 · beat its mark28/02/2025 · OR 85 parBHA85 @ Cork 20/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 5f Goo 133 · beat its mark20/05/2025 · OR 85 par20/0585OR 85BHA87 @ Curragh 04/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 87 · 5f Goo 134 · below its mark04/06/2025 · OR 87 parBHA87 @ Curragh 29/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 87 · 5f Gd 119 · below its mark29/06/2025 · OR 87 par29/0687OR 87BHA88 @ Cork 25/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 88 · 5f Goo 124 · beat its mark25/07/2025 · OR 88 parBHA85 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 85 · 5f Std 140 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 85 par13/0385OR 85BHA89 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 89 · 5f Gd 132 · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 89 parBHA87 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 87 · 6f63y Goo 125 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 87 par18/0787OR 87projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18CurraghBHA877th7th0
2026-06-28CurraghBHA8912th12th0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA854th4th0
2025-07-25CorkBHA881st1st0
2025-06-29CurraghBHA872nd2nd0
2025-06-04CurraghBHA877th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/014/0613/0318/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 11
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength13%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/01/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
28/02/20258th12/137%36%-0.00
20/05/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
04/06/20257th7/163%54%-0.09
29/06/20252nd10/147%92%+0.45
25/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
13/03/20264th5/287%40%-0.47
28/06/202612th8/158%27%-0.31
18/07/20267th40/10%68%+0.68