5
Spodo Komodo
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 78
Naas · Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap · 5f 205y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA78 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA79 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Curragh | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-21 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 12/04/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 77% | +0.16 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/06/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |