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8

Another Nice'day

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 52

Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#5

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has returned to form last 2 starts, racing from 6 lb out of the handicap but still getting off the mark in 10-runner contest at Navan 23 days ago. Didn't have much in hand that day, though, so will need to find more again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 13/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 5f180y Goo 12913/07C8C8 @ Navan 28/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 5f Yie 133C0 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 6f Yie 12510/09C?BHA55 @ Down Royal 29/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 55 · 5f Yie 123 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 55 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 54 · 7f Std 133 · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 54 par19/1154OR 54BHA49 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 49 · 7f Goo 128 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 49 parBHA47 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 47 · 6f Goo 121 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 47 par12/0647OR 47BHA43 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 21 · OR 43 · 5f Gd 119 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 43 parBHA42 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 42 · 5f Goo 119 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 42 par11/0742OR 42projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11NavanBHA421st1st0
2026-06-24NaasBHA436th6th0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA4713th13th0
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA4914th14th0
2025-11-19DundalkBHA5411th11th0
2025-09-29Down RoyalBHA555th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0729/0912/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/202511th16/116%23%+0.07
28/08/20258th40/10%36%+0.36
10/09/202510th80/10%31%+0.31
29/09/20255th10/147%64%+0.16
19/11/202511th9/276%23%-0.53
29/05/202614th16/116%0%-0.16
12/06/202613th40/10%20%+0.20
24/06/20266th22/10%75%+0.75
11/07/20261st17/255%100%+0.45