1

Caffu Zafeen

5yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 60

Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#15

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Timeform

Commentary

Didn't really fire in Britain for David Simcock last year and little promise in 2 starts for current yard in June, last of 15 in handicap at Leopardstown (7f) on latest outing.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chepstow 03/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 6f16y Gd 133 · beat its mark03/09/2024 · OR 75 par3/095OR 754 @ Yarmouth 18/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 75 · 6f3y GF 132 · beat its mark18/09/2024 · OR 75 par4 @ Newcastle 28/12/2024 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 74 · 6f Std 131 · beat its mark28/12/2024 · OR 74 par28/124OR 744 @ Lingfield 18/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f1y Std 123 · beat its mark18/01/2025 · OR 73 par5 @ Southwell 12/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 71 · 6f16y Std 134 · beat its mark12/02/2025 · OR 71 par12/025OR 715 @ Windsor 19/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f21y GF 129 · below its mark19/05/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Newmarket 20/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 66 · 6f GF 131 · beat its mark20/06/2025 · OR 66 par20/065OR 66BHA63 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 18th of 21 · OR 63 · 5f Goo 133 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 63 parBHA62 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 62 · 7f45y Goo 132 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 62 par18/0662OR 62projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA6215th15th0
2026-06-07NavanBHA6318th18th0
2025-06-20Newmarket56th6th0
2025-05-19Windsor56th6th0
2025-02-12Southwell56th6th0
2025-01-18Lingfield46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0918/0120/0618/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 15
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20242nd10/1195%80%-0.15
18/09/20244th6/168%73%+0.04
28/12/20246th4/179%50%-0.29
18/01/20256th10/382%29%-0.54
12/02/20256th6/168%38%-0.31
19/05/20256th11/486%17%-0.69
20/06/20256th5/174%38%-0.36
07/06/202618th33/10%15%+0.15
18/06/202615th66/10%0%0.00