4
Dandy Land
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 53
Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | BHA51 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | BHA51 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA54 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | BHA54 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Dundalk | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength86%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 17/10/2025 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 31/10/2025 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 74% | +0.74 |
| 12/06/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 53% | -0.10 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 83% | +0.28 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |