14
Jackandthefox
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 40
Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f
#14
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA40 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA40 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA42 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA45 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Dundalk | BHA50 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Gowran Park | BHA47 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.25 |
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 79% | -0.04 |
| 26/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 87% | +0.08 |
| 15/08/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 28/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 81% | +0.02 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |