6

Practical Move

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 56

Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#6

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

After 6 months off ahead of first start since leaving Michael Butler, ran up to her best when rallying for fourth in 11-runner handicap at Down Royal 17 days ago. Task is now to build on latest effort kept at this trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 25/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f Gd 12825/06C8C8 @ Naas 05/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 5f Goo 1285/07C8C8 @ Curragh 16/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 19 · OR - · 6f Gd 12116/08C8BHA70 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 70 · 5f Std 126 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 70 par19/0970OR 70BHA68 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 68 · 6f Std 136 · below its mark10/12/2025 · OR 68 par10/1268OR 68BHA63 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 63 · 6f Std 131 · below its mark13/01/2026 · OR 63 par13/0163OR 63BHA56 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 56 · 5f Goo 134 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 56 par17/0756OR 56projClass-projected finish: 11th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA564th4th0
2026-01-13DundalkBHA639th9th0
2025-12-10DundalkBHA6812th12th0
2025-09-19DundalkBHA705th5th0
2025-08-16Curragh?6th6th0
2025-07-05Naas?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0619/0917/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20253rd80/10%67%+0.67
05/07/20259th50/10%43%+0.43
16/08/20256th50/10%72%+0.72
19/09/20255th50/10%56%+0.56
10/12/202512th25/10%15%+0.15
13/01/20269th16/116%20%+0.04
17/07/20264th18/15%70%+0.65