3
Reinforce
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 54
Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f
#10
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA58 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | BHA59 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-07-03 | Bellewstown | BHA71 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-13 | Cork | BHA71 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-02-12 | Southwell | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-02-04 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 18th | 80/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 25/08/2024 | 16th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 15/11/2024 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 04/02/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/02/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/06/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/06/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 11/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |