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10

Star Allure

4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 45

Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#12

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who has finished down the field in her 3 races this year, though helped force the pace when tenth of 14 in handicap at Sligo (6.3f) in May on latest outing. Drops back in trip with blinkers left off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA40 @ Killarney 15/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 40 · 1m30y Yie 120 · beat its mark15/07/2025 · OR 40 par15/0740OR 40BHA40 @ Sligo 06/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 40 · 6f21y Goo 122 · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 40 parC8 @ Bellewstown 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 34 · 5f3y Sft 129 · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 34 par1/10C8OR 34C8 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 58 · 5f Sft 129 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 58 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 54 · 5f Std 136 · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 54 par28/1154OR 54C8 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 50 · 5f Std 129 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 50 parBHA52 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 52 · 6f Std 136 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 52 par13/0152OR 52C8 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 50 · 6f Std 142 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 50 parBHA50 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 50 · 6f61y Sft 132 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 50 par3/0550OR 50projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-03SligoBHA5010th10th0
2026-02-27Dundalk?8th8th0
2026-01-13DundalkBHA5211th11th0
2025-12-10Dundalk?3rd3rd0
2025-11-28DundalkBHA547th7th0
2025-10-22Navan?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0722/1013/013/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20255th11/142%33%-0.09
06/08/20254th10/147%67%+0.19
01/10/20253rd40/10%67%+0.67
22/10/20257th25/10%25%+0.25
28/11/20257th80/10%25%+0.25
10/12/20253rd66/10%71%+0.71
13/01/202611th40/10%23%+0.23
27/02/20268th200/10%0%0.00
03/05/202610th28/10%31%+0.31