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12

Steel Magnolia

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 43

Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#13

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came in a Bellewstown handicap (5f, heavy) in October. In good heart with a trio of in-frame efforts to start this season, before not getting a clear run when mid-field at Bellewstown a month ago. Could bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 50 · 5f Yie 120 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 50 par16/1050OR 50BHA50 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 19 · OR 50 · 5f180y Sft 131 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 50 parBHA50 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 50 · 5f Std 132 · beat its mark28/11/2025 · OR 50 par28/1150OR 50BHA48 @ Dundalk 12/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 48 · 6f Std 130 · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 48 parBHA48 @ Dundalk 17/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 48 · 5f Std 130 · beat its mark17/12/2025 · OR 48 par17/1248OR 48BHA46 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 46 · 5f3y Sft 128 · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 46 parBHA46 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 46 · 5f Sft 128 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 46 par19/0546OR 46BHA43 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 21 · OR 43 · 5f Gd 125 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 43 parBHA43 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 43 · 5f3y Gd 125 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 43 par3/0743OR 43projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA437th7th0
2026-06-24NaasBHA434th4th0
2026-05-19CorkBHA463rd3rd0
2026-04-11BellewstownBHA464th4th0
2025-12-17DundalkBHA484th4th0
2025-12-12DundalkBHA486th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1012/1219/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 15
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength81%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/10/20256th13/266%67%+0.01
22/10/20254th5/174%83%+0.10
28/11/20258th8/158%13%-0.45
12/12/20256th80/10%55%+0.55
17/12/20254th15/261%73%+0.12
11/04/20264th17/255%79%+0.23
19/05/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07
24/06/20264th15/261%85%+0.24
03/07/20267th4/179%50%-0.29