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Step Back In Time

8yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 44

Naas · Matchbook Supporting Local Racing Apprentice Handicap (0-60) · 5f

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 3 times at Navan last year but has struggled for form in 4 outings this season. Others more persuasive at present despite her reduced mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA57 @ Naas 24/08/2025 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR 57 · 5f Gd 140 · beat its mark24/08/2025 · OR 57 par24/0857OR 57BHA53 @ Navan 06/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 53 · 5f Gd 123 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 53 parBHA53 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 53 · 6f Yie 136 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 53 par30/0953OR 53BHA51 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR 51 · 5f180y Yie 134 · beat its mark08/10/2025 · OR 51 parBHA59 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 59 · 5f Sft 122 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 59 par22/1059OR 59BHA58 @ Navan 16/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR 58 · 5f180y Yie 141 · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 58 parBHA55 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 21 · OR 55 · 5f Goo 125 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 55 par7/0655OR 55BHA51 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 51 · 6f Goo 133 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 51 parBHA47 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 47 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 47 par1/0747OR 47projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA4711th11th0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA519th9th0
2026-06-07NavanBHA5514th14th0
2026-05-16NavanBHA5812th12th0
2025-10-22NavanBHA597th7th0
2025-10-08NavanBHA511st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/088/107/061/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength47%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/08/202516th8/158%25%-0.33
06/09/20253rd14/126%88%+0.62
30/09/20256th9/153%44%-0.08
08/10/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
22/10/20257th16/116%40%+0.24
16/05/202612th14/126%31%+0.05
07/06/202614th40/10%35%+0.35
12/06/20269th25/10%47%+0.47
01/07/202611th50/10%38%+0.38