1
Altimara
5yo Mare · 10-0 · OR 70
Naas · Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA71 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA74 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA76 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Dundalk | BHA76 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Dundalk | BHA74 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Punchestown | BHA72 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 19. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 45% | -0.33 |
| 11/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.44 |