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6

Dynamic Force

7yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64

Naas · Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

61%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a willing attitude to end a lengthy losing run in 16-runner event at Gowran (7f, good to firm) 9 days ago, all out to hold on having led over 1f out. 5 lb higher here and not out of things now back in the winning groove.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kilbeggan 22/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 2m Goo 16622/08C8BHA67 @ Laytown 04/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 67 · 6f Std 165 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 67 parBHA62 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 132 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 62 par15/0562OR 62BHA60 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA60 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 60 · 6f Goo 142 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 60 par12/0660OR 60BHA60 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 60 · 7f211y Gd 142 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 60 parC8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 60 · 7f195y Gd 135 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 60 par3/07C8OR 60BHA59 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 59 · 7f50y Goo 129 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 59 parBHA59 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 59 · 7f Goo 141 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 59 par25/0759OR 59projClass-projected finish: 1st of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA591st1st0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA592nd2nd0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?5th5th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA604th4th0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA607th7th0
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA604th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0829/053/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength81%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20256th50/10%58%+0.58
04/09/20254th25/10%67%+0.67
15/05/202612th16/116%21%+0.06
29/05/20264th8/158%77%+0.19
12/06/20267th11/142%57%+0.15
02/07/20264th4/179%79%-0.00
03/07/20265th6/168%71%+0.03
16/07/20262nd11/142%92%+0.50
25/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32