19

Miss Ivor

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 54

Naas · Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap · 7f

#19

Rank

Odds

300/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Little form to her name and first-time cheekpieces made no difference when last of 9 in maiden at the Curragh (1½m, good) a couple of months ago. Dropped back markedly in trip for this handicap return. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 10.2)

Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 18/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12818/09C8C8 @ Naas 12/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12812/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f Std 1287/11C8BHA58 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 58 · 7f111y Gd 128 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 58 par11/0558OR 58C8 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 56 · 1m4f Yie 127 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 56 par3/06C8OR 56projClass-projected finish: 19th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-03Curragh?9th9th0
2026-05-11RoscommonBHA5812th12th0
2025-11-07Dundalk?12th12th0
2025-10-12Naas?8th8th0
2025-09-18Naas?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0912/107/1111/053/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 19
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 19th of 19. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/202510th125/10%40%+0.40
12/10/20258th400/10%50%+0.50
07/11/202512th150/10%0%0.00
11/05/202612th28/10%15%+0.15
03/06/20269th300/10%0%0.00