7
Mo Anam Chara
3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 69
Naas · Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA70 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Dundalk | BHA68 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Naas | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 27/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 03/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 19/04/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |