5
Phoenix Pairc
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65
Naas · Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA68 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA69 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Dundalk | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Bellewstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 19
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 01/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 13/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 26/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 14/10/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/11/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |
| 19/12/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 18/06/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |