9
Profit Surge
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 62
Naas · Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: BHA49
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA52 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dundalk | BHA53 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Dundalk | BHA54 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 19
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength79%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 19.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 17/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 06/02/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 62% | -0.07 |
| 13/02/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 58% | -0.23 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |