17
Summer Snow
6yo Mare · 10-2 · OR 72
Naas · Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA76 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA79 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA83 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | BHA84 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Dundalk | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Leopardstown | BHA84 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 19
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 19. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 29/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 19/10/2025 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 07/11/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 24/05/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 26/06/2026 | 17th | 33/1 | 0% | 16% | +0.16 |