IvyArcIvyArc
13

Volendam

4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 61

Naas · Bet 20 Get 40 With Matchbook Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Belatedly opened her account at Bath and ran her race without ever quite getting to the all-the-way winner when second of 8 at Nottingham (8.3f, good to firm) just under 6 weeks ago. Has since left Tony Carroll and not without each-way claims.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 05/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 52 · 1m13y Std 132 · beat its mark05/02/2026 · OR 52 par5/026OR 526 @ Chelmsford City 21/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 54 · 1m Std 134 · beat its mark21/02/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Southwell 21/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 53 · 1m13y Std 133 · beat its mark21/03/2026 · OR 53 par21/036OR 536 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 53 · 1m Sta 133 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 53 · 1m Goo 133 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 53 par5/046OR 536 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 156 · below its mark27/04/2026 · OR 60 par5 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 60 · 1m75y Goo 132 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 60 par19/055OR 605 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 62 · 7f Goo 129 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Nottingham 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 61 · 1m75y Goo 135 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 61 par25/066OR 61projClass-projected finish: 7th of 19
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-25Nottingham62nd2nd0
2026-06-04Wetherby55th5th0
2026-05-19Nottingham52nd2nd0
2026-04-27Wolverhampton611th11th0
2026-04-05Bath61st1st0
2026-03-25Kempton63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0225/0319/0525/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 19
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength89%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 19.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/02/20262nd6/168%89%+0.20
21/02/20266th9/488%29%-0.60
21/03/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
25/03/20263rd1/195%71%-0.23
05/04/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
27/04/202611th6/168%0%-0.68
19/05/20262nd6/168%91%+0.22
04/06/20265th11/142%56%+0.13
25/06/20262nd13/891%86%-0.06