10
Big Dispute
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 66
Naas · Watch All Racing Live At Matchbook Handicap · 1m 2f 184y
#11
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA104 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-06 | Clonmel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2025 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 12/05/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 06/11/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 22/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 07/07/2026 | 10th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |