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Daler

4yo Gelding · 10-3 · OR 83

Naas · Watch All Racing Live At Matchbook Handicap · 1m 2f 184y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

With cheekpieces added, doubled his tally in 15-runner event at Leopardstown (9f, soft) in June. Has remained in good form when placed both starts since and he makes appeal again with yard's runners continuing to go well.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA72 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 72 · 1m Std 139 · beat its mark29/10/2025 · OR 72 par29/1072OR 72BHA83 @ Dundalk 21/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 83 · 7f Std 134 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 83 parBHA83 @ Dundalk 05/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 83 · 1m Std 126 · below its mark05/12/2025 · OR 83 par5/1283OR 83BHA83 @ Dundalk 19/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 83 · 1m Std 134 · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 83 parBHA81 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 81 · 1m Std 139 · below its mark20/03/2026 · OR 81 par20/0381OR 81BHA80 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 80 · 1m Gd 127 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 80 parBHA75 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 75 · 1m1f Sft 135 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 75 par4/0675OR 75BHA82 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 82 · 1m1f163y Yie 142 · below its mark22/06/2026 · OR 82 parBHA83 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 83 · 1m2f Goo 143 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 83 par16/0783OR 83projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA833rd3rd0
2026-06-22BallinrobeBHA822nd2nd0
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA751st1st0
2026-05-17NaasBHA807th7th0
2026-03-20DundalkBHA818th8th0
2025-12-19DundalkBHA834th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1019/124/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
21/11/20253rd6/492%80%-0.12
05/12/20256th2/189%29%-0.61
19/12/20254th8/158%67%+0.09
20/03/20268th9/488%30%-0.58
17/05/20267th14/126%50%+0.24
04/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
22/06/20262nd5/174%89%+0.15
16/07/20263rd5/287%75%-0.12