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Diamond Exchange

4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 79

Naas · Watch All Racing Live At Matchbook Handicap · 1m 2f 184y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

58%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressed when winning maiden at Dundalk and handicap at Leopardstown this year. Not in same form next 2 starts but got back on track when fifth at Killarney (11.4f) 20 days ago and her mark has eased a little more ahead of this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: BHA76
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 11/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 12711/05C8C8 @ Curragh 04/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 83 · 1m4f Gd 127 · below its mark04/06/2025 · OR 83 parC8 @ Down Royal 21/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 81 · 1m2f96y Gd 129 · below its mark21/06/2025 · OR 81 par21/06C8OR 81C8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f150y Std 130 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 76 parBHA76 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 76 · 1m2f Yie 126 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 76 par15/0476OR 76BHA77 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 77 · 1m2f Gd 137 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 77 parBHA81 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 81 · 1m1f Sft 141 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 81 par4/0681OR 81BHA81 @ Curragh 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 81 · 1m2f GF 141 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 81 parBHA80 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 80 · 1m3f88y Gd 132 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 80 par14/0780OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA805th5th0
2026-06-27CurraghBHA817th7th0
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA818th8th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA771st1st0
2026-04-15LeopardstownBHA763rd3rd0
2026-01-09Dundalk?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/059/014/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/05/20252nd14/126%80%+0.54
04/06/20256th9/276%58%-0.18
21/06/20253rd9/153%71%+0.19
09/01/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
15/04/20263rd9/153%82%+0.29
15/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/06/20268th11/271%50%-0.21
27/06/20267th11/271%45%-0.26
14/07/20265th11/271%50%-0.21