6

Letiza

6yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 73

Naas · Watch All Racing Live At Matchbook Handicap · 1m 2f 184y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won at Down Royal last summer for Henry de Bromhead but failed to beat a rival in 2 starts for Adrian Nicholls in Britain during the winter. Much more like it on yard debut when second of 11 at Navan (1¼m, good to firm) 23 days ago, conceding first run to the winner. Player after 4 lb rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA68 @ Cork 01/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 68 · 1m Yie 121 · beat its mark01/10/2024 · OR 68 par1/1068OR 68BHA71 @ Dundalk 01/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 71 · 1m Std 134 · below its mark01/11/2024 · OR 71 parBHA74 @ Dundalk 22/11/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 74 · 1m2f150y Std 141 · below its mark22/11/2024 · OR 74 par22/1174OR 74BHA71 @ Leopardstown 05/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 71 · 1m1f Goo 131 · below its mark05/06/2025 · OR 71 parBHA70 @ Down Royal 21/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 70 · 1m2f96y Gd 140 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 70 par21/0670OR 70BHA76 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 76 · 1m2f84y Goo 137 · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 76 par5 @ Southwell 30/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 74 · 1m3f24y Std 141 · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 74 par30/105OR 745 @ Newcastle 22/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 72 · 1m2f42y Std 137 · below its mark22/11/2025 · OR 72 parBHA69 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 69 · 1m2f40y Goo 129 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 69 par11/0769OR 69projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11NavanBHA692nd2nd0
2025-11-22Newcastle511th11th0
2025-10-30Southwell56th6th0
2025-08-04NaasBHA768th8th0
2025-06-21Down RoyalBHA701st1st0
2025-06-05LeopardstownBHA718th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/105/0630/1011/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 11
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength69%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20243rd10/382%82%-0.01
01/11/20242nd5/174%92%+0.19
22/11/20244th5/287%70%-0.17
05/06/20258th11/271%59%-0.12
21/06/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
04/08/20258th4/179%53%-0.26
30/10/20256th22/10%0%0.00
22/11/202511th50/10%0%0.00
11/07/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27