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8

My Girl Grace

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 80

Naas · Watch All Racing Live At Matchbook Handicap · 1m 2f 184y

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Overcome inexperience when making a winning debut in a Leopardstown maiden in June and ran to a similar level despite failing to justify support when seventh of 9 in handicap at Killarney (11.4f, good) 20 days ago. Stable having good spell.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Sft 1294/06C8BHA83 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m3f88y Gd 124 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 83 par14/0783OR 83projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA837th7th0
2026-06-04Leopardstown?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
14/07/20267th2/189%25%-0.64