6
Alpe d'Huez
2yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 85
Naas · Irish EBF Ballyhane Stakes (Median Sires Series) · 5f 205y
#3
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength78%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.9
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 25th | 21th | +4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-30 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 17/06/2026 | 25th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |