7

El Domino

2yo Colt · 9-2

Naas · Irish EBF Ballyhane Stakes (Median Sires Series) · 5f 205y

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ardad colt who refused to settle when sixth of 11 in maiden at Leopardstown (6.5f, good, 22/1) on debut 18 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -3.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f110y Goo 12816/07C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Leopardstown?6th10th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20266th22/10%50%+0.50