2

Star Prospect

2yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 90

Naas · Irish EBF Ballyhane Stakes (Median Sires Series) · 5f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked highly promising when making a winning debut at the Curragh in April but below that level on his next 2 starts, including in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot. Back on track when third of 8 in minor event at Cork (5f, good to firm, 5/1) 10 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.4
Today:
Class gap: +4.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 5f Sft 13119/04C?C0 @ Naas 17/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f Gd 13417/05C?1 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 21 · OR - · 5f GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS20/061C0 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f GF 13824/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-06-20Royal Ascot113th8th+4
2026-05-17Naas?3rd3rd0
2026-04-19Curragh?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0417/0520/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 12
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength66%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
17/05/20263rd4/696%50%-0.46
20/06/202613th14/126%40%+0.14
24/07/20263rd5/174%71%-0.02