9
Nautic Star
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 75
Naas · Hurling For Cancer On August 24th Fillies Maiden · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | BHA75 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-26 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Cork | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 10/09/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.37 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |