3

Zesty Belle

5yo Mare · 9-10

Naas · Hurling For Cancer On August 24th Fillies Maiden · 1m

#15

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran to just a modest level in 2 Dundalk maidens last November. Makes turf debut on return and is probably one for handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f Std 1305/11C8C8 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 13128/11C8projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-28Dundalk?8th8th0
2025-11-05Dundalk?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1128/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 18
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20254th9/153%63%+0.10
28/11/20258th66/10%42%+0.42