5

Quisana

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 77

Nottingham · Weatherbys Digital Solutions Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 75y

#2

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair filly who has run to a similar level all 4 starts. Made the odds-on favourite pull out all the stops in 3-runner Chepstow maiden (1m) latest. Could be vulnerable to a more progressive one here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Windsor 18/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m31y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/0524 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 7f16y Goo 12629/0544 @ Doncaster 14/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f6y Goo 12814/0644 @ Chepstow 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 77 · 1m14y GF 128 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 77 par16/074OR 77projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Chepstow42nd2nd0
2026-06-14Doncaster45th5th0
2026-05-29Chepstow42nd2nd0
2026-05-18Windsor24th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0529/0514/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength8%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/20264th40/10%67%+0.67
29/05/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02
14/06/20265th7/282%64%-0.18
16/07/20262nd6/492%50%-0.42