IvyArcIvyArc
1

Blue Sign

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 71

Nottingham · Weatherbys Global Stallions App EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 18y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Highly tried both starts since promising-enough debut fourth at Lingfield in May. Return to calmer waters/addition of first-time tongue strap looks an interesting angle, and she's probably the one to be with.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength77%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 9.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 4f217y Goo 12830/0541 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 17th of 25 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/0612 @ Newmarket 09/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/072projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Newmarket28th6th+2
2026-06-19Royal Ascot117th13th+3
2026-05-30Lingfield44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0519/069/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20264th16/116%57%+0.41
19/06/202617th250/10%33%+0.33
09/07/20268th50/10%13%+0.13