3
Harlequin Gift
2yo Filly · 9-2
Nottingham · Weatherbys Global Stallions App EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 18y
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength1%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |